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Economy

Grid planning becomes a kitchen-table issue

Heat pumps, EVs and new industry are arriving faster than substations. The utility's ten-year plan is suddenly everyone's business.

The document was designed to be unreadable — a utility's ten-year capital plan, filed with a regulator, in the format regulators love and citizens ignore. This year it has a fan base, because buried in its load forecasts is the answer to a question arriving at kitchen tables across the province: when you electrify the house, will the grid be there?

The forecast's honest answer is: mostly, eventually, unevenly. Provincial generation is adequate for the decade; the pinch is distribution — the substations and feeders that turn a strong grid into a usable one. The plan's own maps show constrained zones in exactly the places growth is fastest, several of them in this valley, where new connections above a modest size already queue.

The queue is where households meet industry. A subdivision's heat pumps, a packing plant's expansion and a charging depot draw on the same feeder, and the plan's allocation rules — first come, first served, confidential — were written for an era when nobody was coming.

The regulator's hearings open in the new year, and for once the intervenor list includes municipalities, farm groups and school districts alongside the usual industrial counsel. The grid was infrastructure's quietest file for fifty years. The quiet, on the evidence of the filing room, is over.

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